Shockingly high daily reported case numbers from the Monterey County Department of public health: 61 cases reported yesterday, almost double the previous high day. Seven-day weighted moving average positivity ratio is now more that twice the statewide metric. 30 of the 61 cases were from 93930 (King City), 12 more from 93905 (Salinas).
Monterey County DPH has been publishing cumulative positivity numbers, which don’t give a realistic picture of where we are today. Here’s a comparison of the 7-day (weighted by number of tests) average of the daily results versus cumulative numbers:
By the way, nationwide, we had our 2 millionth case reported today. The daily death rate is falling:
But the daily new cases is rising again:
Deaths lag new cases bny 10 days or so. But, correcting for that, the case fatality rate is falling, both nation- and state-wide.
The orange line is the national CPR, and the blue line is California’s. There are at least two ways to get the CFR to fall. You can have better care, which reduces the numerator, or you can have more testing, which increases the denominator. BOth things are probably happening. The California CFR is less than the national stat.