Yesterday's Department of public health statistics show that cases may have peaked; But in Monterey County, the trend is still upwards: That is in spite of Monterey County doing less testing than the state as a whole: There appears to be a peak forming in … [Read more...]

Monterey County cases continue to climb:   But the doubling time is getting longer, which means were falling behind exponential growth -- a good thing. But the testing positivity rate is climbing, which means we're not testing enough:   The … [Read more...]

The California Department of Public Health provides morbidity and mortality data for health care workers afflicted by Covid-19. I did some analysis today. The cumulative case history: Growth is approximately linear, with a slight increase in the last month or … [Read more...]

The case fatality rate (CFR), the number of people who have died from the Covid-19 over the number of people whose infection has been confirmed, has been falling for months. The demographics of the infected patients has been changing, too. The percentage of infected people … [Read more...]

We've seen a bit of caseload flattening in some of the south and southwest, but not in California or Monterey county. Here's a composite view, normalized for population: Here are the individual plots:     I've had some people tell me that the … [Read more...]