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Covid-19 and California Health care workers

July 16, 2020 By Jim Leave a Comment

The California Department of Public Health provides morbidity and mortality data for health care workers afflicted by Covid-19. I did some analysis today.

The cumulative case history:

Growth is approximately linear, with a slight increase in the last month or so.

Deaths:

 

About linear.

The cumulative case fatality rate (CFR):

 

This is substantially lower than the California total cumulative CFR:

 

The same is true of the averaged daily deaths:

Compare that with this:

In both cases, the CFR of the health care workers is about 1/4 that of the population as a whole. Is that because of the increased testing of these workers, or is it because they omit the cohort of older people for whom the disease is more likely to be fatal? Hard to say.

In other news, we may be seeing some flattening in the recent caseload surge:

 

However, in the case of Monterey County, that may be due to testing that is clearly inadequate:

 

 

Filed Under: The Bleeding Edge

← Is California’s falling CFR mostly due to demographics? Monterey County falls behind in testing, contacts →

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